Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open: maria sakkari vs zeynep sonmez. This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Zeynep Sonmez in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sak…
Methodology
This page reviews National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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