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Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $226K Liquidity: $304K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)74%
Match Winner64%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: nova esports vs jd gaming (bo3) - vct china stage 2 group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Nova Esports and JD Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nova Espor…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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