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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 100% Volume: $245K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-7.5) vs MIBR LOS (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-9.5) vs MIBR LOS (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-8.5) vs MIBR LOS (+8.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-10.5) vs MIBR LOS (+10.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-3.5) vs MIBR LOS (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-4.5) vs MIBR LOS (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-6.5) vs MIBR LOS (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Heretics (-5.5) vs MIBR LOS (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: mibr los vs team heretics (bo3) - esports world cup group d. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports … on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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