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Brazil vs. Norway - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Brazil vs. Norway - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Brazil 1 - 1 Norway 13% Brazil 2 - 1 Norway 12% Any Other Score 11% Brazil 1 - 0 Norway 10% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Brazil vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Brazil 1 - 1 Norway13%
Brazil 2 - 1 Norway12%
Any Other Score11%
Brazil 1 - 0 Norway10%
Brazil 2 - 0 Norway9%
Brazil 1 - 2 Norway7%
Brazil 2 - 2 Norway7%
Brazil 3 - 1 Norway7%
Brazil 0 - 0 Norway6%
Brazil 0 - 1 Norway6%
Brazil 3 - 0 Norway5%
Brazil 3 - 2 Norway4%
Brazil 0 - 2 Norway3%
Brazil 1 - 3 Norway2%
Brazil 2 - 3 Norway2%
Brazil 3 - 3 Norway2%
Brazil 0 - 3 Norway1%

Market context

The Brazil vs. Norway - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 13% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Brazil vs. Norway match originally sch…

Methodology

We track Brazil vs. Norway - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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