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Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Live odds for "Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots 88% Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots 76% Lionel Messi: 1+ goals 66% Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists 64% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $800K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots88%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots76%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals66%
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists64%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ shots56%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots54%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals50%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ shots on target50%
Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target50%
Juan Musso: 3+ saves50%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals + assists50%
Lionel Messi: 1+ shots on target49%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots49%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ shots on target48%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 1+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 2+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 3+ shots on target48%
José Manuel López: 4+ shots on target48%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ shots on target48%
Jovane Cabral: 3+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots on target48%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots on target48%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots on target48%
Lionel Messi: 4+ shots on target48%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shots on target48%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ shots on target48%
Juan Musso: 2+ saves48%
Juan Musso: 4+ saves48%
Juan Musso: 5+ saves48%
Vózinha: 2+ saves48%
Vózinha: 3+ saves48%
Vózinha: 4+ saves48%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ goals + assists48%
Dailon Livramento: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals + assists48%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals + assists48%
Lionel Messi: 4+ goals + assists48%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots on target44%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots42%
Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target42%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots42%
Lautaro Martínez: 4+ shots38%
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists35%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists35%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ shots34%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals32%
Vózinha: 5+ saves32%
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals31%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shots on target31%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ shots28%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shots on target27%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ shots25%
Julián Álvarez: 4+ shots25%
Dailon Livramento: 4+ goals + assists24%
Lautaro Martínez: 5+ shots23%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ shots21%
Julián Álvarez: 5+ shots21%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ shots20%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ shots on target20%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ shots18%
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assists18%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ shots16%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assists16%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ shots on target14%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots on target14%
José Manuel López: 1+ goals13%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ assists13%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goals12%
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists12%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals + assists12%
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals11%
Gilson Benchimol: 3+ shots11%
José Manuel López: 2+ goals10%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ goals9%
Dailon Livramento: 3+ shots9%
Nuno Jóia: 3+ shots9%
Jovane Cabral: 3+ shots8%
Jovane Cabral: 4+ shots8%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals7%
Gilson Benchimol: 4+ shots7%
Nuno Jóia: 4+ shots7%
Jovane Cabral: 5+ shots6%
Gilson Benchimol: 1+ goals5%
José Manuel López: 3+ goals5%
Jovane Cabral: 1+ goals5%
Dailon Livramento: 1+ assists5%
Nuno Jóia: 1+ goals4%
Dailon Livramento: 4+ shots4%
Nuno Jóia: 2+ goals3%
Julián Álvarez: 2+ assists3%
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ assists3%
Julián Álvarez: 3+ goals2%
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ goals2%
Gilson Benchimol: 2+ goals1%
Jovane Cabral: 2+ goals1%
Dailon Livramento: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 88% probability to argentina vs. cabo verde - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Argentina vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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