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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5) 90% Volume: $326K Liquidity: $384K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Match Winner75%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-8.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+8.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550%
Map 2 Winner47%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)1%

Market context

The Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between Cloud9 and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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