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Türkiye vs. France - More Markets

Live odds for "Türkiye vs. France - More Markets" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

O/U 0.5 97% France O/U 0.5 93% O/U 1.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 88% Volume: $288K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Türkiye vs. France - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
France O/U 0.593%
O/U 1.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.588%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
France 2nd Half O/U 0.578%
France O/U 1.575%
O/U 2.571%
Türkiye O/U 0.562%
France 1st Half O/U 0.561%
Both Teams to Score59%
2nd Half O/U 1.559%
France (-1.5)53%
O/U 3.550%
France O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Türkiye O/U 5.549%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 3.549%
1st Half O/U 1.548%
Türkiye O/U 4.546%
France 2nd Half O/U 1.544%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 0.542%
France 1st Half O/U 2.538%
France 1st Half O/U 3.537%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.533%
France 1st Half O/U 1.533%
France (-2.5)32%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
2nd Half O/U 2.532%
O/U 4.528%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.528%
1st Half O/U 4.528%
France O/U 3.527%
Türkiye O/U 1.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
1st Half O/U 2.521%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 2.521%
France 2nd Half O/U 2.519%
France (-3.5)17%
O/U 5.514%
France O/U 4.513%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
1st Half O/U 3.58%
Türkiye O/U 2.57%
France (-4.5)7%
O/U 6.57%
France 2nd Half O/U 3.57%
France O/U 5.55%
Türkiye (-1.5)3%
France (-5.5)3%
O/U 7.53%
Türkiye (-2.5)1%
Türkiye (-4.5)1%
Türkiye (-5.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Türkiye O/U 3.51%
Türkiye (-3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 97% probability to türkiye vs. france - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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