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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 69% O/U 1.5 Rounds 69% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% O/U 2.5 Rounds 53% Volume: $237K Liquidity: $164K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki69%
O/U 1.5 Rounds69%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
O/U 2.5 Rounds53%
Fight to Go the Distance?49%
Fight won by KO/TKO?36%
Zaynukov to win by KO/TKO?32%
Fight won by submission?15%
Rzepecki to win by KO/TKO?9%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to ufc fight night: magomed zaynukov vs. damian rzepecki (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Magomed Zaynukov" if Magomed Zaynukov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Rzepecki at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki at 69% for "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki 69% Other 31%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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