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Lions vs. Panthers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Lions vs. Panthers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 44.5 100% O/U 46.5 100% O/U 47.5 100% O/U 27.5 100% Volume: $9.7M Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Lions vs. Panthers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -9.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
Lions O/U 10.5100%
Lions O/U 12.5100%
Lions O/U 13.5100%
Lions O/U 16.5100%
Panthers O/U 10.5100%
Panthers O/U 12.5100%
Panthers O/U 13.5100%
Panthers O/U 16.5100%
Panthers O/U 19.5100%
Panthers O/U 20.5100%
Lions 1H O/U 6.5100%
Lions 1H O/U 10.5100%
Lions 1H O/U 12.5100%
Lions 1H O/U 13.5100%
Panthers 1H O/U 6.5100%
Panthers 1H O/U 10.5100%
Panthers 1H O/U 12.5100%
Panthers 1H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
2Q Moneyline100%
O/U 48.598%
O/U 49.597%
O/U 50.597%
O/U 51.592%
O/U 52.592%
3Q O/U 10.591%
3Q O/U 13.591%
3Q O/U 14.591%
Panthers O/U 23.591%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q91%
O/U 41.590%
O/U 42.590%
Panthers O/U 26.590%
Panthers O/U 27.590%
Panthers 2H O/U 6.590%
Panthers 2H O/U 10.590%
Panthers 2H O/U 12.590%
4Q O/U 6.589%
Lions O/U 20.585%
Spread -1.582%
4Q O/U 7.581%
O/U 53.580%
Spread -2.580%
O/U 54.580%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q80%
O/U 55.579%
O/U 57.578%
Lions O/U 19.578%
O/U 56.577%
4Q O/U 10.576%
O/U 59.575%
O/U 60.575%
4Q O/U 13.574%
Lions O/U 23.574%
Lions O/U 26.574%
O/U 58.566%
4Q O/U 14.565%
Spread -3.563%
Spread -4.561%
Spread -5.561%
O/U 61.559%
4Q Spread -2.557%
4Q Spread -2.556%
Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.556%
4Q Spread -7.555%
4Q Moneyline54%
2H O/U 16.553%
4Q Spread -10.552%
O/U 62.552%
Spread -6.551%
2H Spread -7.551%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
4Q O/U 5.550%
Panthers O/U 30.550%
Panthers O/U 34.550%
Lions 2H O/U 6.550%
Lions 2H O/U 10.550%
Lions 2H O/U 12.550%
Lions 2H O/U 13.550%
Lions 2H O/U 16.550%
Lions 2H O/U 17.550%
Lions 2H O/U 19.550%
Lions 2H O/U 20.550%
Panthers 2H O/U 13.550%
Panthers 2H O/U 16.550%
Panthers 2H O/U 17.550%
Panthers 2H O/U 19.550%
Panthers 2H O/U 20.550%
Exact Margin: Lions by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Lions by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Lions by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Lions by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Panthers by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Panthers by 21+50%
Safety?50%
Team to Record Longest FG50%
Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Lions vs. Panthers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Lions Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.550%
1H Moneyline50%
Spread -8.549%
Spread -19.549%
Spread -16.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
Lions O/U 27.548%
Spread -21.547%
Spread -17.547%
Spread -19.547%
Spread -20.547%
Spread -21.547%
O/U 63.546%
Exact Margin: Lions by 25+45%
4Q Spread -6.544%
O/U 64.543%
Spread -7.542%
Spread -9.539%
Spread -8.538%
O/U 65.531%
4Q Spread -4.531%
O/U 67.528%
Lions O/U 30.528%
Lions O/U 34.528%
Spread -10.525%
4Q Spread -3.520%
Lions vs. Panthers19%
Spread -13.517%
4Q Spread -6.517%
Spread -14.515%
Spread -1.512%
Spread -2.510%
3Q Spread -13.510%
3Q Spread -14.510%
3Q Spread -13.510%
3Q Spread -14.510%
4Q Spread -7.59%
4Q Spread -10.59%
Spread -3.58%
Spread -4.54%
Spread -6.54%
Spread -5.54%
Spread -7.52%
Exact Margin: Tie2%
Spread -9.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -20.51%
3Q Spread -10.51%
Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
Lions 1H O/U 16.50%
Lions 1H O/U 17.50%
Lions 1H O/U 19.50%
Lions 1H O/U 20.50%
Panthers 1H O/U 16.50%
Panthers 1H O/U 17.50%
Panthers 1H O/U 19.50%
Panthers 1H O/U 20.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Lions vs. Panthers — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 8:20PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 44.5 at 100% for "Lions vs. Panthers".

O/U 44.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $9.7M.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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