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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Live odds for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 60% 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 56% Volume: $998K Liquidity: $441K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.586%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.560%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.556%
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves51%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
Extra Innings50%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.549%
Spread -1.540%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.539%
O/U 9.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.534%
Spread -1.533%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 86% probability to new york mets vs. atlanta braves. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 5 at 12:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 86% for "New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86% Other 14%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $998K.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

Sports