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LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 99% Game 2 Winner 93% Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) 93% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner99%
Game 2 Winner93%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)93%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?81%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games8%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: g2 esports vs shifters (bo3) - lec regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Espo…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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