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LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 75% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $356K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon75%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?64%
Match Winner57%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner56%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)32%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to lol: flyquest vs lyon (bo3) - lcs regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match…

Methodology

We track LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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