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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 37% Draw 35% Deportivo Alavés 28% Volume: $1.9M Liquidity: $443K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
37% 63% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
37% 63% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid37%
Draw35%
Deportivo Alavés28%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 37% probability to rayo vallecano de madrid vs. deportivo alavés. This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Thursday, August 20, 2026 between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Deportivo Alavés.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Rayo Vallecano de Madrid at 37% for "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés".

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 37% Other 63%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.9M.

Methodology

This page reviews Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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