Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of itf m25 kursumlijska banja 3 men: sean cuenin vs timofei derepasko. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Sean Cuenin and Timofei Derepasko in the ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. Th…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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