Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-10.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+10.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: gentle mates vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Gentle Mates and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 5 at 9:45AM ET. This mar…
Methodology
We track Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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