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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 90% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $651K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+8.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+9.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-11.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+11.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-10.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+10.5)75%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.552%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: evil geniuses vs nrg (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Genius…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas … on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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