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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 98% Volume: $220K Liquidity: $442K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.598%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-4.5) vs Eternal Fire (+4.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)91%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-5.5) vs Eternal Fire (+5.5)91%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.575%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.545%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-7.5) vs Eternal Fire (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eintracht Frankfurt (-8.5) vs Eternal Fire (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-2.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: eternal fire vs eintracht frankfurt (bo3) - vct emea play-ins. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Eternal Fire and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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