Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Mjallby AIF will host IK Sirius in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 15 August 2026 at 14:00 CET (09:00 ET). The fixture represents a mid-table clash in the top Swedish division, with settlement tied to additional betting markets that may emerge around this match. The 0% implied probability on this contract suggests either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that the condition triggering a YES resolution will not occur.

Allsvenskan fixtures typically generate modest liquidity in prediction markets relative to major European leagues, creating structural gaps between sportsbook odds and prediction-market pricing. Historical patterns show that niche market segments—particularly those tied to "more markets" conditions—often trade at extreme probabilities simply because few traders engage with them. Comparable Allsvenskan matches have seen prediction-market lines diverge sharply from Scandinavian bookmaker spreads, particularly when the underlying event lacks high-profile player injuries or managerial changes that would trigger widespread media coverage.

Traders should monitor official Allsvenskan fixture confirmations and any late-stage venue or scheduling changes, which occasionally prompt sportsbooks to open additional betting options. Team news from both clubs in the week preceding the match—particularly injuries to key players—typically drives sportsbook activity and may trigger the emergence of supplementary markets. Fixture postponements remain rare in Swedish football but have occurred; confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled would be a baseline catalyst for market activation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.