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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $2.3M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 2?9%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?9%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?9%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?9%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Team Liquid and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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