Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Charlotte FC hosted Atlanta United in MLS on 22 July, and the contract in question is for “more markets” rather than the match result itself. The crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** therefore looks like a stale or non-standard pricing point rather than a live view on the football, because independent match pages already show the game was played and Atlanta won 2-0.[2]

For context, this kind of sidecar market usually moves very differently from the main win/draw/win line because it depends on which extra prop is actually listed, whether the underlying game is live or settled, and whether the exchange has refreshed after kick-off. Comparable MLS “more markets” contracts often sit close to zero until a specific auxiliary condition becomes likely, so a 0% print is only meaningful if the contract has a narrowly defined trigger and the listed line is genuinely open. A simple score-based framing from the live preview side also leaned conservative, with one pre-match page projecting at most five total goals, which is consistent with a relatively modest expectation for ancillary goal-related outcomes.[1]

Traders should watch for line-definition issues, official match timing, and any settlement dependency tied to the 8:15 PM ET scheduled start, because the contract window closes at 00:15 UTC on 23 July. Any late data refresh, postponed market update, or discrepancy between sportsbook grading and prediction-market rules can create a gap between sportsbook odds, market-implied probability, and what analysts expect the contract to resolve to.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.