Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| O/U 178.5 | 52% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 52% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| O/U 179.5 | 49% |
| O/U 180.5 | 47% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 21.5 | 44% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 41% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.5 | 29% |
| Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty | 28% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 65% YES probability for Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liber…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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