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CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 81% CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5 72% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 70% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 70% Volume: $328K Liquidity: $710K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.581%
CD Guadalajara O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.570%
2nd Half O/U 1.570%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half57%
2nd Half O/U 2.557%
CD Guadalajara 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CD Guadalajara 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 1.546%
CD Guadalajara O/U 1.534%
CD Guadalajara (-1.5)29%
FC Juárez O/U 0.527%
O/U 2.520%
Both Teams to Score20%
CD Guadalajara (-2.5)10%
CD Guadalajara O/U 2.510%
O/U 3.57%
FC Juárez O/U 1.56%
FC Juárez O/U 2.56%
O/U 4.52%
FC Juárez (-1.5)1%
FC Juárez (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
1st Half O/U 0.51%
CD Guadalajara 1st Half O/U 0.51%
CD Guadalajara 1st Half O/U 1.51%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 29% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-07-25T23:07:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

We track CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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