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LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 67% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 59% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $81K Liquidity: $484K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)55%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Game 1 Winner28%
Game 2 Winner28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Match Winner20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of lol: lng esports vs invictus gaming (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between LNG Esports and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Grou… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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