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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 80% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 76% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 71% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 71% Volume: $969K Liquidity: $386K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?80%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?71%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?71%
Game 2 Winner63%
Match Winner63%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
Game 1 Winner52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
First Blood in Game 1?0%

Market context

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 80%. This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmin…

Methodology

We track LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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