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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 54% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 54% Volume: $62K Liquidity: $696K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?54%
Game 1 Winner53%
Game 2 Winner53%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Match Winner52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor46%
Any Player Quadra Kill46%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)27%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group — current market-implied probability: 56%. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEA…

Methodology

We track LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 R… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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