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Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 0.5 95% Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 90% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% O/U 1.5 81% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $510K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Manchester United FC O/U 0.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
O/U 1.581%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
Manchester United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.571%
Manchester United FC O/U 1.566%
Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 0.564%
O/U 2.559%
Hull City AFC O/U 0.553%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
Manchester United FC (-1.5)49%
Both Teams to Score49%
Manchester United FC O/U 2.539%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
Manchester United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.537%
O/U 3.536%
Hull City AFC 2nd Half O/U 0.536%
Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 0.528%
Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 1.527%
Manchester United FC (-2.5)26%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half26%
2nd Half O/U 2.525%
O/U 4.519%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Hull City AFC O/U 1.517%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
O/U 5.59%
Hull City AFC 2nd Half O/U 1.58%
Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 1.54%
Hull City AFC (-1.5)2%
Hull City AFC O/U 2.52%
Hull City AFC (-2.5)1%

Market context

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 2% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-08-22T11:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page reviews Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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