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LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Odd/Even Total Kills 51% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 51% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 50% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $648K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?46%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Match Winner37%
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)36%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?21%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?21%
Any Player Penta Kill8%
Any Player Penta Kill8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team heretics vs sk gaming (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular … on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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