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Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'

Five-platform snapshot of "Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 38.5 83% O/U 40.5 83% O/U 46.5 73% Spread -1.5 64% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 38.583%
O/U 40.583%
O/U 46.573%
Spread -1.564%
Spread -0.563%
Spread -2.562%
O/U 36.560%
O/U 52.559%
O/U 60.559%
Spread -3.556%
1H Spread -2.555%
O/U 54.554%
O/U 42.553%
Spread -8.552%
O/U 55.552%
1H Moneyline51%
Spread -4.551%
Spread -31.551%
O/U 68.551%
1H Spread -1.551%
1H Spread -5.551%
1Q Spread -1.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
3Q Moneyline51%
2H Spread -0.551%
Memphis 1H O/U 11.551%
Memphis 1H O/U 13.551%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 14.551%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 66.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
Memphis O/U 20.550%
Memphis O/U 23.550%
Memphis O/U 26.550%
Memphis O/U 29.550%
Memphis O/U 32.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 24.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 27.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 30.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 33.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 36.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 15.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 12.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 14.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 16.550%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 12.550%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 16.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 11.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 13.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 15.550%
Memphis O/U 19.550%
Memphis O/U 22.550%
Memphis O/U 25.550%
Memphis O/U 28.550%
Memphis O/U 31.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 10.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 12.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 14.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 23.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 26.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 29.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 32.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 35.550%
O/U 64.549%
1H Spread -3.549%
2Q Moneyline49%
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-5.5)48%
Spread -34.548%
O/U 56.547%
Spread -6.545%
O/U 58.544%
1H Spread -4.542%
Spread -7.538%
Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'37%
2H Moneyline37%
4Q Moneyline36%
O/U 62.524%
Spread -10.523%
O/U 76.521%
Spread -13.519%
O/U 70.519%
Spread -14.517%
O/U 72.515%
Spread -16.514%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 74.512%
Spread -20.510%
Spread -21.58%
Spread -24.56%
Spread -27.56%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 83% YES probability for Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET: If Memphis wins, the market will resolve to "Memphis". If UNLV Runnin' wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV Runnin'". If…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 38.5 at 83% for "Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'".

O/U 38.5 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports