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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Five-platform snapshot of "Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.5 73% Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.5 52% Completed Match 50% Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $173K Liquidity: $595K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.573%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.552%
Completed Match50%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 9.548%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner45%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.545%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-3.544%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.543%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner42%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens41%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.540%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

The Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Elise Mertens prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Diane Parry and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diane Parry' if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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