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National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet

Five-platform snapshot of "National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet 78% National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 8.5 78% National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 Winner 70% National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner 68% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $578K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet78%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 8.578%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 Winner70%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 Winner68%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.555%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 9.555%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 21.553%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 8.551%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 9.551%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 22.546%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Match O/U 23.541%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Total Sets: O/U 2.535%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set 1 O/U 10.530%
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet Set Handicap +/-1.512%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 78% probability to national bank open: brandon nakashima vs titouan droguet. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Titouan Droguet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bran…

Methodology

We track National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguet across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets