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National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 22.5 62% Volume: $548K Liquidity: $506K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 22.562%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 23.562%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.561%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Total Sets: O/U 2.536%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 2 Winner35%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik17%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.55%
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to national bank open: terence atmane vs jakub mensik. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Jakub Mensik in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence A…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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