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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 93% Harry Kane: 3+ shots 77% Harry Kane: 4+ shots 56% Armando González: 1+ shots 50% Volume: $498K Liquidity: $198K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots93%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots77%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots56%
Armando González: 1+ shots50%
Armando González: 2+ shots50%
Armando González: 3+ shots50%
Armando González: 4+ shots50%
Armando González: 5+ shots50%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots50%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots50%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots50%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots50%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots50%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target50%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target50%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target50%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target50%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target50%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists50%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists50%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists50%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists50%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals49%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target49%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves49%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves49%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots48%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target47%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target47%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target45%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots44%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists44%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots42%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals39%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots39%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots38%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves38%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target35%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves33%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target32%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots31%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists31%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves30%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists30%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target29%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists27%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target27%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots26%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals23%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target21%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals20%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots19%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals15%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots14%
Armando González: 2+ goals13%
Armando González: 3+ goals13%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals13%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals13%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals13%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals13%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists13%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals12%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists12%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists11%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals10%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals9%
Armando González: 1+ goals8%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists8%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals7%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots7%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals4%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals2%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to mexico vs. england - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Mexico vs. England - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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