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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Total Corners

Five-platform snapshot of "Mexico vs. Ecuador - Total Corners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mexico Corners: O/U 2.5 75% Ecuador Corners: O/U 2.5 65% Total Corners: O/U 6.5 65% Mexico Corners: O/U 3.5 56% Volume: $294K Liquidity: $968K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. Ecuador - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mexico Corners: O/U 2.575%
Ecuador Corners: O/U 2.565%
Total Corners: O/U 6.565%
Mexico Corners: O/U 3.556%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.556%
Team to Take First Corner52%
Total Corners: O/U 7.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.548%
Ecuador Corners: O/U 3.548%
Mexico Corners: O/U 4.542%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.539%
Total Corners: O/U 8.538%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.531%
Total Corners: O/U 9.530%
Mexico Corners: O/U 5.528%
Ecuador Corners: O/U 4.528%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.524%
Total Corners: O/U 10.521%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.518%
Total Corners: O/U 11.513%
Total Corners: O/U 12.59%

Market context

The Mexico vs. Ecuador - Total Corners prediction market currently prices this outcome at 75% YES. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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