Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots | 100% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ assists | 100% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots | 91% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 2+ saves | 91% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots | 90% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 90% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 3+ saves | 90% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 4+ saves | 90% |
| Lawrence Ati Zigi: 5+ saves | 90% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals + assists | 90% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots | 53% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots | 52% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots | 52% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Richard Ríos: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ shots | 49% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ shots | 39% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ shots | 28% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 18% |
| David Ospina: 3+ saves | 10% |
| David Ospina: 4+ saves | 10% |
| David Ospina: 5+ saves | 10% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 5+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 1+ assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 2+ shots on target | 0% |
| Prince Adu Kwabena: 3+ shots on target | 0% |
| Richard Ríos: 4+ shots on target | 0% |
| David Ospina: 2+ saves | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Antoine Semenyo: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Iñaki Williams: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| James Rodríguez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 1+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Jordan Ayew: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 3+ goals + assists | 0% |
| Luis Suárez: 4+ goals + assists | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of colombia vs. ghana - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Colombia vs. Ghana - Player Props on PolyGram
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