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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Live odds for "Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 95% Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 94% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 79% Erling Haaland: 2+ shots 78% Volume: $245K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 5 Jul 2026
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Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots95%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots94%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots79%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots78%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots74%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots74%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots66%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots63%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots56%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target48%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target48%
Alisson: 2+ saves48%
Alisson: 5+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves48%
Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves48%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists48%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists48%
Alisson: 4+ saves47%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots45%
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target45%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals44%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots43%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots42%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals41%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots40%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target39%
Raphinha: 1+ goals + assists39%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target35%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists34%
Raphinha: 1+ shots33%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target33%
Alisson: 3+ saves33%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists33%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots32%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists32%
Raphinha: 2+ goals + assists32%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals31%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target31%
Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves31%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists31%
Raphinha: 3+ goals + assists30%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists30%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots29%
Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists29%
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target28%
Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target28%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target28%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target28%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target28%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target28%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists28%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists28%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists28%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots27%
Erling Haaland: 5+ shots27%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target27%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target27%
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists27%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots26%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target26%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target26%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists25%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists25%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots24%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists24%
Raphinha: 2+ shots23%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists22%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots21%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots21%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target21%
Raphinha: 4+ goals + assists21%
Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target20%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists19%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists18%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals17%
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots14%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots14%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals13%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals13%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots13%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target13%
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals12%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists12%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target12%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target12%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots11%
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists10%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots9%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists9%
Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots8%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots8%
Raphinha: 3+ shots8%
Raphinha: 1+ goals7%
Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots7%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots7%
Raphinha: 4+ shots7%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals6%
Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots6%
Raphinha: 1+ assists6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals4%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals3%
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals3%
Raphinha: 5+ shots3%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists3%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists3%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots2%
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists2%
Erling Haaland: 2+ assists2%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists2%
Raphinha: 2+ assists2%
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals1%
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals1%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals1%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals1%
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals1%
Raphinha: 3+ goals1%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, brazil vs. norway - player props stands at 95% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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