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Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 95% Arsenal FC O/U 0.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 80% O/U 1.5 77% Volume: $335K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Arsenal FC O/U 0.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.580%
O/U 1.577%
1st Half O/U 0.571%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 0.569%
Arsenal FC O/U 1.563%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.562%
O/U 2.554%
Leeds United FC O/U 0.552%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Leeds United FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 2.548%
Both Teams to Score47%
2nd Half O/U 1.546%
Arsenal FC (-1.5)43%
1st Half O/U 1.535%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.535%
Arsenal FC O/U 2.534%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 1.532%
O/U 3.531%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 0.526%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.524%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
Arsenal FC (-2.5)22%
1st Half O/U 4.522%
Leeds United FC O/U 3.522%
Leeds United FC O/U 4.520%
2nd Half O/U 2.520%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half (-1.5)19%
Leeds United FC O/U 1.518%
2nd Half O/U 4.518%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-1.5)18%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half (-1.5)17%
O/U 4.514%
Arsenal FC O/U 3.514%
Arsenal FC (-5.5)13%
1st Half O/U 2.513%
Arsenal FC (-4.5)12%
Leeds United FC (-5.5)12%
Arsenal FC 2nd Half O/U 2.510%
Arsenal FC (-3.5)9%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 3.58%
2nd Half O/U 3.57%
O/U 5.56%
Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 2.56%
Arsenal FC O/U 4.55%
Arsenal FC 1st Half (-2.5)5%
1st Half O/U 3.54%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 3.54%
Leeds United FC O/U 2.53%
Leeds United FC O/U 5.53%
Leeds United FC 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Leeds United FC 2nd Half O/U 3.53%
Leeds United FC 1st Half (-1.5)3%
Leeds United FC (-1.5)2%
O/U 6.52%
Leeds United FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
Arsenal FC O/U 5.51%
Leeds United FC (-3.5)0%
Leeds United FC (-4.5)0%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to arsenal fc vs. leeds united fc - more markets. More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 AM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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