Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 88% |
| O/U 44.5 | 82% |
| O/U 46.5 | 78% |
| O/U 50.5 | 71% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| LSU O/U 27.5 | 61% |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss | 57% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| 1H Moneyline | 55% |
| O/U 42.5 | 53% |
| LSU O/U 30.5 | 53% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Ole Miss O/U 27.5 | 52% |
| O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| LSU O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dilin Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sam Leavitt: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trey'Dez Green: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Winston Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harlem Berry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stacy Gage: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eugene Wilson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JT Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayce Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Phillip Wright III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Durham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrell Gill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Traylon Ray: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Malik Elzy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -18.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 48.5 | 44% |
| O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Ole Miss O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 37% |
| O/U 64.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 68.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Spread -12.5 | 25% |
| O/U 70.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| O/U 66.5 | 24% |
| Spread -24.5 | 21% |
| O/U 72.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| O/U 74.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 76.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| O/U 78.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -12.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to lsu vs. ole miss. In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Ole Miss, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" i…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $934K.
Methodology
This page reviews LSU vs. Ole Miss across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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