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São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 0.5 77% São Paulo FC O/U 0.5 55% CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5 52% Both Teams to Score in Second Half 51% Volume: $193K Liquidity: $330K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.577%
São Paulo FC O/U 0.555%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.552%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
CR Vasco da Gama (-3.5)50%
São Paulo FC (-4.5)50%
São Paulo FC (-5.5)50%
1st Half O/U 4.550%
São Paulo FC O/U 4.550%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 4.550%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 5.550%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 2.550%
São Paulo FC 1st Half O/U 3.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 2.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
São Paulo FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
CR Vasco da Gama (-4.5)49%
CR Vasco da Gama (-5.5)49%
São Paulo FC O/U 5.549%
São Paulo FC O/U 3.547%
O/U 1.543%
Both Teams to Score30%
Both Teams to Score in First Half22%
O/U 2.520%
1st Half O/U 3.519%
1st Half O/U 0.518%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.518%
O/U 5.517%
São Paulo FC O/U 2.517%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 3.517%
1st Half O/U 1.515%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.514%
São Paulo FC O/U 1.513%
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)12%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)11%
O/U 4.510%
O/U 3.59%
São Paulo FC (-1.5)5%
São Paulo FC (-2.5)1%
São Paulo FC (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 77% probability to são paulo fc vs. cr vasco da gama - more markets. More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for October 17 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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