Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| O/U 34.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 84% |
| O/U 32.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 79% |
| Indiana O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| O/U 42.5 | 69% |
| Ohio State O/U 20.5 | 69% |
| Indiana O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 44.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| Ohio State O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| O/U 46.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 57% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ohio State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| O/U 50.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| O/U 52.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 62.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 29% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| O/U 58.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| O/U 66.5 | 26% |
| O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| Spread -11.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| O/U 64.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 93% chance of ohio state vs. indiana. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Indiana, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. T…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $306K.
Methodology
We track Ohio State vs. Indiana across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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