LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming are due to meet in an LCP Group Stage best-of-five, with the market currently pricing **0% YES** for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming despite the fixture being scheduled to go ahead on 6 August. That is notable because public match pages and esports prediction sites are treating the series as live and playable, while the quoted crowd view on this contract is effectively zero, implying either very strong sentiment against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming or a market that has not yet attracted meaningful participation.[3][9][12]

The longer-run frame does not support a clean 0% read. In the most recent published LCP standings available in the search results, Ground Zero Gaming sit above Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming in the split table, but the pair’s head-to-head record is mixed in the broader ecosystem: one source says Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming won all three of their previous meetings this year, including a 2–0 in April, while another bookmaker-style page earlier in 2026 had Ground Zero as the pre-match favourite before Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming still won the series 3–1.[2][3][11] That combination suggests the consensus is more nuanced than the crowd price alone, with analysts and historical results leaning towards Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming in some comparisons even if the live market has swung the other way.[6][11]

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: confirm the series starts on time, check for any format or schedule change, and watch for team-sheet or broadcast updates close to the 09:00 UTC kick-off.[3][9][14] Because the settlement window allows only a seven-day delay before a no-winner outcome, any postponement pushed beyond 13 August would matter more than a routine reschedule.[12] There is also a cross-platform split to note: Strafe’s community vote is 100% for Ground Zero Gaming, while other prediction and odds pages have been more favourable to Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, so the contract is sitting between a hard community lean and a far less absolute historical and bookmaker picture.[3][6][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.