LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers face HANJIN BRION in an LCK Rise Group best-of-three, and the market is pricing DN SOOPers at **36%** to win against a clear favourite. That is in line with the broader form picture: LCK 2026 Rise Group standings listed DN SOOPers on **1-17** while BRION sat at **6-12**, which helps explain why most cross-platform pricing still leans towards HANJIN BRION despite the relatively short match format. [14][3]

For context, recent comparable meetings have mostly favoured BRION. Sheep Esports records BRION winning the parties' May 2026 LCK series **2-0**, and a separate July KeSPA Cup meeting also went BRION’s way, while the head-to-head note on Polymarket says the overall record favours HANJIN BRION but recent series have been competitive. [16][15][4] On that basis, a 36% DN SOOPers price is not a pure longshot position; it implies the market is giving some weight to upset potential in a Bo3, but still prefers the more stable team-level and head-to-head evidence behind BRION. [3][4][16]

The main catalysts for traders are simple: confirmation that the match starts on schedule, which side actually fields the intended roster, and whether any broadcast or schedule change pushes the series outside the contract’s settlement window. Multiple listings place the game around **08:00** local time on 2 August 2026, though some mirrored fixtures show slightly different time-zone displays, so the practical trigger is the official LCK start and completion status rather than third-party listings alone. [2][5][6][10] If the series is delayed, suspended, or not completed, the contract’s fallback rules matter as much as the result itself, because those outcomes can force a 50-50 settlement rather than a win for either side.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.