LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

CTBC Flying Oyster and Ground Zero Gaming are scheduled for a best-of-five in the LCP Group Stage, and the current crowd price of **0% YES** is far below the wider esports view. Strafe’s public match preview has CTBC Flying Oyster at **87.3%** of user picks, while Stadio shows a similarly one-sided split at **61%** for CFO against **39%** for Ground Zero; both are markedly different from the prediction market line, which implies a complete outsider outcome. [4][12][6]

Recent comparable meetings also cut against the market’s 0% reading. Ground Zero beat CTBC Flying Oyster **3-1** in LCP Split 1 playoffs, but CFO won their earlier February meeting **3-1**, and Strafe lists the overall head-to-head at **2-2** from four prior meetings, suggesting a competitive but not lopsided matchup. That makes the contract’s current zero-priced YES side look more like a stale or thin market than a consensus on the game itself, especially given that both teams have already traded series wins this season. [1][9][4]

For traders, the main catalyst is simple: whether the series starts and completes on schedule, because the contract settles 50-50 if the match is not played, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner. SofaScore lists the fixture for **9 August 2026 at 09:00 UTC**, which is in line with the listed LCP slot, so any broadcast, schedule, or bracket update would matter more than the underlying team narrative in the near term. If there is a late format change or postponement, that would be the most immediate driver of repricing. [2][6][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.