LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 7:00 AM ET on 17 July. The crowd-implied probability of 73% YES aligns closely with Strafe’s community vote, which favours Anyone’s Legend at 72.9%, suggesting minimal divergence between prediction-market sentiment and cross-platform esports odds[1]. This convergence mirrors historical patterns in EWC knockout stages where community-driven platforms and sportsbooks rarely deviate by more than 3% on clear favourites, reinforcing the reliability of the current pricing.

Traders should monitor live broadcast confirmations on DAZN, the tournament’s official streaming partner, for any schedule shifts or technical delays that could trigger the 50-50 settlement clause if the match exceeds seven days without resolution[3]. While Anyone’s Legend recently defeated Top Esports in a qualifier with a predicted 2:1 scoreline, their form against European squads like Karmine Corp remains untested in this tournament[4]. Karmine Corp’s prior 1-0 loss to Gen.G in the group stage highlights vulnerability against top-tier Asian teams, a factor that may sustain pressure on the YES side if early-game performance mirrors that encounter[2]. No roster announcements or dependency changes have been reported as of 5 AM UTC.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.