Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Power Rangers and MOUZ are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three lower-bracket round one match at EPL Masters Playoffs, with live coverage sites listing a 09:00 UTC start and the market deadline sitting well after that at 15:00 UTC. The market is already priced at a **100% implied YES** on the current crowd view, but that reflects contract mechanics more than match certainty: the event needs an actual winner, while a cancellation, tie, or a delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 settlement. [1][2][3]
On comparable pricing, the wider market is notably less absolute. Polymarket’s own Dota 2 board shows the paired team view around **49% Power Rangers / 52% MOUZ**, while sportsbook-style lines cluster closer to MOUZ at roughly **1.70-1.85** decimal for the series, implying a moderate favourite rather than a near-lock. Community prediction sites are firmer on MOUZ too, with Strafe voting around **84%** for MOUZ and Bo3 model pages leaning to a 2-0 or 2-1 MOUZ result, so the crowd-implied 100% YES looks like a contract-specific certainty rather than a consensus on the match winner. [4][5][12][16]
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: the match must actually begin, progress normally, and produce a completed winner within the settlement window. Tournament schedule pages, live scoreboards, and coverage feeds all currently place the fixture on 10 August, but EPL Masters results can shift the bracket if earlier series overrun or if a team is forced to forfeit, which matters because this market has a fallback to 50-50 if no winner is determined on time. Recent live listings still show the match as active and underway/queued rather than removed, so the key watchpoints are official bracket updates, any rescheduling notices, and whether the series reaches game three or ends early. [1][3][10][17][19]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MOUZ (BO3) - EPL Masters Pl… on PolyGram
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