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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint 87% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner 82% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner 81% US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set Handicap +/-1.5 68% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $90K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint87%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner82%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner81%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set Handicap +/-1.568%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 8.555%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Game Spread +/-4.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 21.538%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 22.535%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 10.532%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Total Sets: O/U 2.527%
US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint Match O/U 23.525%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 87% probability to us open wta: elina svitolina vs maya joint. This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Maya Joint in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolin…

Methodology

We track US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Maya Joint across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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Related Topics

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