Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to the memphis classic: kristina liutova vs maya joint. This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Liutova and Maya Joint in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina …
Methodology
We track The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Joint on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →