Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of ningbo open, qualification: polina kudermetova vs mananchaya sawangkaew. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kudermetova and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Ningbo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:30AM …
Methodology
This page reviews Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Ningbo Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Ma… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →