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Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $123K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei0%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 Winner0%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 2 Winner0%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 21.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 22.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 23.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Jingshan: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Aliona Falei Game Spread +/-3.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to jingshan: tyra caterina grant vs aliona falei. This market refers to the tennis match between Tyra Caterina Grant and Aliona Falei in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tyra Cater…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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