Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
54% | 46% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
54% | 46% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Match O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Game Spread +/-2.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Match O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 1 Winner | 43% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Match O/U 22.5 | 43% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set 2 Winner | 42% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse | 39% |
| Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 38% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, korea open: anna bondar vs gabriela ruse stands at 54% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Gabriela Ruse in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse on PolyGram
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