Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Game Spread +/-5.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open wta: mirra andreeva vs janice tjen. This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Janice Tjen in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Janice Tjen on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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